Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d056a445d8873a4c7d3e743fc9e02d4bb81e32d64822230e753ae641b615cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof BNK FEARX, Nongshim Red Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc800…4117backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 4,130$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.38 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nongshim Red Force | 67c | 2,550$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.1 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 1,412$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Nongshim Red Force | 5c | 829.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.29 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 644$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX | 20c | 563.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed BNK FEARX | 27c | 453.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 447.1$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Nongshim Red Force | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 380.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 276$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 67c | 255.81$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed BNK FEARX | 26c | 231$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 47c | 181.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim Red Force | 73c | 166.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 145.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 236 | 36.4%86 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 66c | 141.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nongshim Red Force | 10c | 117.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 109$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 45.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 44.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Nongshim Red Force | 47c | 38.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 38.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 233 | 64.4%150 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…0783backed Nongshim Red Force | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.