Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $140 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395b893045c80c300e407cceb853698c64bf8cabe2fa026115b27e7c598a3c5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 22c | 3,987$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.63 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 12c | 3,141$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.81 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 69c | 2,481$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.85 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 24c | 2,347$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.29 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 31c | 1,691$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,110$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…827dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,107$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…aa99backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…08ccbacked Yes | 12c | 910.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 26c | 431.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Yes | 26c | 401.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 277$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…c66fbacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…5b1bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…0a40backed Yes | 26c | 193$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…5847backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 75c | 24.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $140 November 10-16?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.