Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $130 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd931a622fc8297a648b93e0302198d697217092d0871f06f44df8d2767eec647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 4c | 17,669$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.78 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,328$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 13c | 13,085$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 8c | 6,380$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.64 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes | 37c | 6,115$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…0f01backed Yes | 53c | 5,009$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 4,717$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,852$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.42 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,561$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.7 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 12c | 2,112$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,602$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…b48cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,575$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…264cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…378cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,353$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…374ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,179$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…1dffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,054$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 78c | 990.27$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 5c | 973.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 535.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…0a40backed Yes | 8c | 290$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…ce4dbacked Yes | 17c | 289.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 24c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 23c | 245$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Yes | 16c | 205$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f61dbacked Yes | 6c | 187.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…ed7dbacked Yes | 7c | 169.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…2026backed Yes | 10c | 151.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…9d8dbacked Yes | 32c | 145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…3d64backed Yes | 9c | 132.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc5…48a4backed Yes | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 28c | 107.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…54f0backed Yes | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 79c | 62.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e9…4d62backed Yes | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…a35dbacked No | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb96…2f00backed No | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…dbc4backed Yes | 54c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…bcf3backed Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…8a7dbacked Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…6409backed No | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…6816backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…4797backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…ae65backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…4f56backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…462bbacked No | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…a927backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…3f94backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…a1a0backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…8df5backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $130 November 10-16?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 November 10-16?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.