Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3677a9bf6e660db949c4716083a0c2ac12cb374c69a3f9eb09b38eeccc53914a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 0c | 65,762$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,960$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.51 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 66c | 918.08$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.94 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 26c | 632.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 27c | 502.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 58c | 425.36$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…1fe9backed Yes | 7c | 423.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 413.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 36c | 363.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 337.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 333.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed No | 69c | 332.18$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…6a1abacked No | 75c | 330.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 45c | 228.93$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 18c | 190.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 45c | 185.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 16c | 173.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 44c | 157.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 32c | 147.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 26c | 147.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 45c | 142.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 54c | 140.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 133.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 54c | 113.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 46c | 109.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 46c | 108.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 56c | 101.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…c94abacked Yes | 64c | 101.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 46c | 97.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed No | 72c | 95.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 62c | 93.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…43a5backed No | 56c | 91.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 57c | 90.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 89.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 56c | 83.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 54c | 80.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 53c | 72.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 62.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 59c | 61.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 50.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 23c | 49.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 58c | 49.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…070cbacked No | 62c | 48.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…e75bbacked No | 53c | 47.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…f49dbacked Yes | 40c | 47.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 45c | 47.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 53c | 46.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 25c | 44.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 42c | 44.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 52c | 42.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 44c | 41.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 34c | 40.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 57c | 37.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Yes | 33c | 36.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…ffa5backed No | 54c | 35.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 50c | 35.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 48c | 35.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…1994backed No | 56c | 34.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 62c | 33.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 34c | 33.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…757fbacked No | 58c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed Yes | 51c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 43c | 31.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 50c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 50c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed Yes | 47c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 79c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 56c | 25.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 48c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 46c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…435ebacked Yes | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…5090backed No | 54c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 20.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 55c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 58c | 19.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…75aebacked No | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 73c | 18.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…4342backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.