Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c52628bcabf2b261c29579a9a31008ba4b99eba63eb6773bc40296f0daa76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,107$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.48 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…d7cdbacked Yes | 80c | 443.19$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 423.74$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 380.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 18c | 380.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 356.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 39c | 325.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 59c | 287.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 286.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 268.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 13c | 254.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 25c | 226.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 52c | 193.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed No | 54c | 192.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 181.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…031dbacked No | 15c | 167.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 44c | 146.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 44c | 146.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 133.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 37c | 133.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 35c | 130.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 128.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 41c | 128.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 40c | 122.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 24c | 109.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 57c | 106.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…055dbacked No | 22c | 97.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 24c | 96.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…cccbbacked Yes | 35c | 89.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 41c | 82.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 23c | 79.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 70c | 76.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…43a5backed No | 67c | 73.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 75c | 73.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 59c | 69.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 36c | 62.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 80c | 57.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 60c | 50.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 38c | 50.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…467fbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…dbffbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 36c | 49.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 49.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 33c | 46.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 66c | 45.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…9b00backed No | 71c | 45.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 202 | 66.8%135 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…5099backed Yes | 77c | 44.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 67c | 44.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 40.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Yes | 60c | 39.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked Yes | 34c | 38.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 32c | 37.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 79c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 36c | 33.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 35c | 32.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…3ebdbacked Yes | 38c | 32.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 35c | 30.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 34c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 51c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6e24backed No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -10.9wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 64c | 27.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 56c | 25.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 66c | 25.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 46c | 25.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 24.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 56c | 23.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 22.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…4af7backed No | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 70c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…76a4backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 80c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 16.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 67c | 15.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b3…f08ebacked No | 67c | 15.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.