MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec231ac8f8f6cb359ffadafd809045e437c0ada75ebd8f317facd2ae80521f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 10,542$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.95 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 8,613$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 7,763$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 6,142$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 3,941$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 3,012$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.12 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 2,458$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.83 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Angels | 9c | 2,270$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.07 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,619$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,584$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 1,203$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 952.74$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 886.95$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 585$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 438.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ebf0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 284.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 269.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 158.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 135.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 115.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 106.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…e99cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…ce6cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 87.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 83.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 79.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 69.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 57.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 54.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 48.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2008backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 33.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…baf3backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 29.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 27.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…1209backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 21.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 21.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.