MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf725589b21067aeba1bb8153026652ef2a9486f69532004cc20fcd0d8996e992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 6,398$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 3,774$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 2,712$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 2,637$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.77 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 1,871$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.03 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 1,748$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 57c | 1,490$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 64c | 887.74$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.31 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…d2f0backed Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 52c | 623.02$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.96 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 64c | 574.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.9 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 39c | 454.04$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 355.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 53c | 328.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.31 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 288.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 263.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Under | 75c | 252.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under | 74c | 200.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 176.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 60c | 158.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 63c | 137.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 134.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 51c | 131.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…04b0backed Under | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 38c | 102.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 91.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 68c | 71.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 34c | 67.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 24c | 61.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 46c | 59.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 35c | 51.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 39.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Over | 50c | 32.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 63c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 46c | 30.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 43c | 27.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 66c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 63c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 51c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 68c | 18.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 56c | 18.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 63c | 17.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.