Champions League · resolved market
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63129c66c25d382167dc8d9e9076ffa669f0789d1d233ada15a36ac7892b450c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 58c | 294.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 59c | 262.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 57c | 223.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 55c | 222.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 44c | 218.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 59c | 215.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked No | 57c | 169.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 58c | 164.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…46d6backed Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…61babacked Yes | 42c | 116.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…62e7backed Yes | 46c | 91.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…0840backed Yes | 43c | 89.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…79c9backed Yes | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed Yes | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…37a7backed Yes | 41c | 56.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 41.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 404 | 50.7%205 W · 199 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 45c | 25.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed No | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Mohamed Salah: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vitinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.