Champions League · resolved market
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c69f4b6fd8798e82907c1de57a479b2e654dc3aaf0a8dc2b581a9c82907aed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 2,856$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 30c | 2,148$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 64c | 701.52$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 68c | 515.22$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.04 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 36c | 367.84$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 67c | 299.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…3282backed Yes | 33c | 293.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 68c | 264.72$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 64c | 245.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 36c | 240.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes | 36c | 185.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 66c | 154.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…3c7fbacked Yes | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Yes | 30c | 124.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 57c | 121.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…ed19backed Yes | 36c | 105.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 43c | 101.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 69c | 100.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes | 30c | 97.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…9b39backed Yes | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 63c | 69.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 65c | 68.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…75b4backed Yes | 29c | 67.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 49.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 49.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…9d97backed Yes | 36c | 48.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 44c | 44.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 56c | 34.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Desire Doue: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Mohamed Salah: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Vitinha: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.