Earnings · resolved market
Will FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc2882e61c4e57574f96c2dd88f3133619ea0327a146492e3957185c4aa9adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 27c | 409.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 22c | 396.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 24c | 249.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…e4a9backed Yes | 62c | 246.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 24c | 206.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226c…5541backed No | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 79c | 126.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 17c | 125.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 73c | 125.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…ba7abacked No | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 79c | 58.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…b154backed No | 44c | 56.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 22c | 56.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 50.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Yes | 73c | 48.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…dbc1backed Yes | 74c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…e9e6backed Yes | 74c | 32.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9d…a3d4backed Yes | 74c | 30.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d9…941abacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +163%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 28.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…357abacked Yes | 74c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…0195backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ea…6d6abacked Yes | 74c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9083backed Yes | 76c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…1eb5backed Yes | 76c | 24.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…76aebacked Yes | 74c | 24.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 71c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…2081backed Yes | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 70c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…0819backed Yes | 74c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…bbf2backed Yes | 76c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…a786backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…b4debacked Yes | 75c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…a31cbacked Yes | 74c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Yes | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…0e1dbacked Yes | 74c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…81abbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.