Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae38cb970d8b07bfeb7c11091adb8755173fcac25276052429881e3065926d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 8,150$6,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,448.98 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 7,150$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 3,416$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.24 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 2,693$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.41 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 2,469$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.97 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 2,228$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.91 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 2,119$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.54 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 2,079$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,686$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.67 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,398$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.34 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 50c | 905.9$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.95 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 63c | 843.84$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 31c | 834.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 30c | 833$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.1 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 56c | 475.58$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 75c | 377.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 373$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 306$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 25c | 282$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 66c | 276$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 41c | 236.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…7a69backed Yes | 28c | 227.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 207$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 18c | 203.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 18c | 198.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 192.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 31c | 186.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 145.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 77c | 130.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 126.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 116$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 108.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 23c | 104.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 31c | 100.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 36c | 99.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 65c | 89.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 33c | 84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 30c | 78.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 79c | 77.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 29c | 76.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 71.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…77a1backed Yes | 27c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 57.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 30c | 54.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 22c | 54.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…fe1abacked Yes | 30c | 53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 70c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 51.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 22c | 49.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes | 26c | 47.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…b727backed Yes | 27c | 42.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 30c | 40.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Yes | 35c | 37.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…bc37backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 69c | 34.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 74c | 30.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6f…f28fbacked No | 74c | 28.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes | 41c | 25.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 19.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?No won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.