Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd349b0a44dfcb1807960c3b8deaa35ad4e5e7aac70b89bb50643aeb476ea7ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 6,543$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.44 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 4,344$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.33 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 4,196$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.41 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 32c | 1,492$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 1,231$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.37 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 1,058$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 727.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 712.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.37 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 688.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 683.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 2c | 609.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 407$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 373.39$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 322.34$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 269.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 60c | 222.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 215.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked No | 74c | 206.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 130.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 73c | 128.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 60c | 128.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 97.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 89.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 60c | 83.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 83.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 60c | 67.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 58.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 39.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 60c | 22.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.