Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe41c7671c9e0dcc426f0712e857048f8b86c59411156af10ad6877b8c8f454d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Horsensof FC Midtjylland, AC Horsens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed FC Midtjylland | 52c | 19,366$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 5,940$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AC Horsens | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed AC Horsens | 49c | 5,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed AC Horsens | 48c | 3,775$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked AC Horsens | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed AC Horsens | 50c | 2,881$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.73 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked AC Horsens | 49c | 2,500$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.4 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Midtjylland | 52c | 1,832$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.38 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 1,467$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.33 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed AC Horsens | 48c | 1,216$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.45 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed AC Horsens | 49c | 926.18$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.35 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked AC Horsens | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AC Horsens | 46c | 794.23$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed AC Horsens | 60c | 788.3$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed AC Horsens | 47c | 691.24$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed AC Horsens | 49c | 678$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed AC Horsens | 48c | 501.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed FC Midtjylland | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AC Horsens | 50c | 346.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed FC Midtjylland | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 201.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked FC Midtjylland | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed FC Midtjylland | 35c | 180$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed AC Horsens | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed AC Horsens | 50c | 157.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 144.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed AC Horsens | 51c | 140.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked AC Horsens | 47c | 88.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed AC Horsens | 56c | 87.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed AC Horsens | 53c | 74.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed AC Horsens | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed AC Horsens | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked AC Horsens | 46c | 54.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Midtjylland | 43c | 52.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed FC Midtjylland | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AC Horsens | 50c | 50.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AC Horsens | 48c | 38.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked FC Midtjylland | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed AC Horsens | 57c | 33.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed AC Horsens | 57c | 30.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed FC Midtjylland | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked AC Horsens | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed AC Horsens | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed AC Horsens | 51c | 27.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed AC Horsens | 51c | 27.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Midtjylland | 66c | 26.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed AC Horsens | 58c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.