Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa56aade09b1b5d3fbead9d875c884c028189144f8040186e3ad8ca46fb3b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,389$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 37c | 2,375$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.37 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 1,502$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.43 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 42c | 1,056$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.79 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 35c | 1,034$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 851.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 810.42$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 45c | 810.42$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.73 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 640$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Under | 62c | 312.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 312.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 19c | 274.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 38c | 227.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 77c | 198.54$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 196.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 149.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 56c | 130.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 119.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 110.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 63c | 107.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 14c | 103.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 54c | 101.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 28c | 91.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Under | 45c | 89.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 56c | 87.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 86.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 57c | 77.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 72.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 63c | 67.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 24c | 56.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Over | 41c | 47.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 41c | 36.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 35c | 32.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 56c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 63c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)AC Horsens won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.