Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11fa5476e428dc8f12cb87a9af1de4d98c4f2c001c2043e497b8ac9953c2b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Yes | 52c | 1,089$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 438.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 428$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 305.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 238.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 211.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 51c | 162.49$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 147.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 23c | 100.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 77c | 90.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 77c | 90.65$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 28c | 59.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 48c | 43.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed No | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)AC Horsens won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.