Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e8e6a39930df4a50ff87d48c643810292bacbcaa7c0010001744de157442b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 1,185$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.94 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 72c | 1,071$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 28c | 818.79$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.4 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 705.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 77c | 527$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 78c | 424.63$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 345.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 75c | 302.54$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 18c | 126.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…00d7backed Over | 63c | 118.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 46c | 76.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 53.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 53.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 57c | 50.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 37c | 37.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 76c | 36.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 62c | 18.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. AC Horsens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)AC Horsens won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)AC Horsens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.