Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0872db486c19099cd3d182a20fb7c8d32ea8e0a8fd2d3e862107d398266aa930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 7,718$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.7 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 3,913$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.68 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 3,253$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.53 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,251$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,515$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.8 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,494$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,198$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 1,118$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 73c | 479$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 329.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 255.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 18c | 242.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed No | 76c | 232$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 202$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 119.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 11c | 111.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 86.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 26c | 76.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 25c | 69.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 63.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 60.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 39.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 74c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-06-27?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.