Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-06-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24bb82c01f4ca1f33f3777953a6b4222f8d33dac80734548678350e6840604d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes | 4c | 37,026$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.97 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 4,651$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked No | 80c | 3,416$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 3,185$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 2,098$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 14c | 1,017$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 14c | 755.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 562$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 73c | 520.47$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 15c | 497$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 66c | 485$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 483.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 15c | 479.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 387.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 377.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 377.14$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 11c | 332.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 66c | 312.38$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 312.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 15c | 310$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…2c34backed Yes | 17c | 270.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 15c | 236.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 18c | 199.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 182.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 27c | 94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 93.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 27c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Yes | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 14c | 79.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 75.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 80c | 42.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-06-27?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.