Premier League · resolved market
Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd070b8d1d687d54d6761759e58c1427d9a14b927169c38b600cee5da1f7a8ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 2,703$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,482$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,065$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.95 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 8c | 521.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39af…dd9dbacked Under | 6c | 295.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 28c | 220$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 164.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 126.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 72.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 65.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 56.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…9592backed Under | 40c | 51.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 51c | 49.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 50c | 48.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 46.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 51c | 42.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 33.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 29.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 28.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…3a1dbacked Under | 50c | 27.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tranmere Rovers FC vs. Rochdale AFC: Tranmere Rovers FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.