Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Stefan Horia Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe1f34734daacb35b99e612d37aa961375147f946865ed15cdf25f02e743f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Semen Pankinof Semen Pankin, Stefan Horia Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Semen Pankin | 47c | 1,061$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.86 | 355 | 50.7%180 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Stefan Horia Haita | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…8b19backed Semen Pankin | 48c | 469.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.54 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Semen Pankin | 48c | 446.11$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 52c | 353.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Horia Haita | 51c | 351.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Semen Pankin | 48c | 292.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.02 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Stefan Horia Haita | 39c | 252.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Semen Pankin | 49c | 204.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Stefan Horia Haita | 22c | 188.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Semen Pankin | 49c | 173.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 836 | 61%510 W · 326 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Semen Pankin | 62c | 121.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Semen Pankin | 62c | 80.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Stefan Horia Haita | 51c | 70.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Stefan Horia Haita | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Semen Pankin | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 328 | 56.7%186 W · 142 L | +21.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Stefan Horia Haita | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Semen Pankin | 50c | 47.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 49c | 46.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Semen Pankin | 75c | 45.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Stefan Horia Haita | 53c | 43.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Semen Pankin | 47c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefan Horia Haita | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 36c | 29.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Semen Pankin | 53c | 22.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Semen Pankin | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 161 | 64%103 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Horia Haita | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.