Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17ac58929b3a339b13e383dbcb2f4c0988e983d9e8bc423c1a3248501e13efd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 18c | 3,128$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.87 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 26c | 908.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 3c | 513.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…8b9cbacked No | 68c | 478.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 19c | 437.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 398.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 234.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Yes | 13c | 223.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 61c | 212$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 168$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 38c | 155.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 14c | 121.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 54c | 120.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 64c | 107.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 71c | 83.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 66c | 83.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes | 45c | 78.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Yes | 39c | 76.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 65.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 60.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 26c | 60.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 28c | 58.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 27c | 57.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 74c | 56.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 54.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…9b38backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7323…1affbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…e44cbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…a35ebacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…2276backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…491dbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…99dabacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…ba81backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 42c | 53.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed No | 57c | 53.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 53.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…f88ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 56c | 42.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 44c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 68c | 40.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed Yes | 43c | 40.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 46c | 32.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 71c | 32.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 43c | 30.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 26.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…9226backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.