Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e701f6785b048745a9c29727772bf0b1bba6fc1f975662b5b83a658b52e154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,486$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 2,444$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 1,354$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.33 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.96 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 880.53$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 17c | 864.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 72c | 383.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 69c | 340.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 44c | 338.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 278.32$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 52c | 249.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 236.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 232.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 15c | 231.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 17c | 204.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 40c | 177.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 72c | 145.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 33c | 142.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 135.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 106.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 51c | 97.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 56c | 78.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 72c | 67.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 52c | 64.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 54c | 59.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 51c | 48.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 58c | 48.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…6c62backed Over | 52c | 47.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 57c | 46.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 28c | 39.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 35.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 35.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 30.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…901bbacked Over | 71c | 20.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 69c | 20.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland O/U 1.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.