TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,132 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07ea…a6babacked Over65c1,530$1,000 inWon+$530.288843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under35c558.75$194 inLost-$193.932,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under37c256.54$95 inLost-$94.9213051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c201$68 inLost-$68.3487645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c194.11$126 inWon+$68.225,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under34c189.64$64 inLost-$64.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c179.17$63 inLost-$63.032,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under31c161.29$50 inLost-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Under38c128.21$49 inLost-$48.721478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over63c124.81$78 inWon+$46.584562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under31c107.57$33 inLost-$33.353815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Over48c104.26$50 inWon+$53.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under38c83.79$32 inLost-$31.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c71.89$50 inWon+$21.431,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under45c68$31 inLost-$30.67647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over48c60$29 inWon+$31.22751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked Over42c59.98$25 inWon+$34.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under58c57.36$33 inLost-$33.2721144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under37c51.45$19 inLost-$19.042944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over50c50$25 inWon+$2526052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over69c35.59$25 inWon+$11.031,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over50c32$16 inWon+$162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.572576%19 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under62c26.82$17 inLost-$16.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.