Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74afdd55fa4931b277295e8f74064ade2be4b28f64887f98c9cc8b9cf6800715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Wuhan San Zhen FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 79c | 10,000$7,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.05 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 20c | 6,494$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 20c | 2,000$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 26c | 1,785$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 80c | 988.6$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 78c | 497.7$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 21c | 479.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 20c | 286$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 21c | 139.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 22c | 118.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 32c | 73.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Wuhan San Zhen FC | 16c | 66.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 73c | 44.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Wuhan San Zhen FC | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.