Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f04f9574ef53b13be11ed4aa09bc881256e21129be3c63b41cbe2a423917c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 2,672$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,242$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 1,012$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 689.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 574.13$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 55c | 509.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 258.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 56c | 193.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 59c | 168.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed No | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 45c | 151$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 13c | 120.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 61c | 97.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 89.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 55.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 35c | 54.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 50.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 35.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 33.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 28.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…613ebacked Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 47c | 26.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 47c | 22.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.