TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tweets · resolved market

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tweets
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes6c5,600$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4348310.1%49 W · 434 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes2c3,993$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.41,00110.5%105 W · 896 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c9…7636backed Yes3c1,677$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No75c1,604$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.362539.5%247 W · 378 L+48.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes5c1,222$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.565535.6%31 W · 522 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.142719.2%82 W · 345 L+23.3wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b11…5a66backed Yes9c906.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes45c598.93$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2524732.4%80 W · 167 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360e…c462backed Yes6c533.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.534223.8%10 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb98…0f80backed Yes2c515.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.186241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes19c506.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6931743.2%137 W · 180 L+28.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes5c474.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.061216.6%8 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes2c413.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0713119.1%25 W · 106 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes28c396.04$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4125127.1%68 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes16c380.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9276821.7%167 W · 601 L-2.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No61c228.13$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1733670.2%236 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes29c220.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9219927.6%55 W · 144 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes6c220$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.265598.2%46 W · 513 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No66c172.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0679735.9%286 W · 511 L-34.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes13c166.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2834039.7%135 W · 205 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes21c153.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.796216.1%10 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-66.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes29c116.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.222,55213.1%335 W · 2,217 L+4.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No78c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5524155.6%134 W · 107 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes15c99.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951018.2%93 W · 417 L-89.7wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x72be…67b8backed Yes16c96.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.669724.7%24 W · 73 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes34c76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8412745.7%58 W · 69 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ac6…0465backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes28c74.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2134127.3%93 W · 248 L+1.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fcc…701bbacked No60c72.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7411050%55 W · 55 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes36c69.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.729740.2%39 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718357.9%106 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff9…f85dbacked Yes34c56.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3215455.2%85 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126e…c360backed Yes27c55.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.272646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…385bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044227.4%121 W · 321 L-21.9wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fd…15a0backed Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked No56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed No60c49.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.654327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes37c43.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.446854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes27c39.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.722330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No59c25.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.194459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No73c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432673.1%19 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No78c14.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.11266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0821063.3%133 W · 77 L+22.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.