TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,330

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over50c195,682$97,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,841.8543647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c67,442$33,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,704.8911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c31,384$15,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,691.81,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c27,917$13,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,953.8510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over50c22,599$11,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,343.8485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c16,519$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.331,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c15,300$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65032152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c13,394$6,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.223,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over50c13,384$6,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,691.811,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c13,145$6,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,572.592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under46c5,529$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.9633554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c2,318$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1591,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,127$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.926,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under50c2,025$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.353467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c1,867$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.6648339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,646$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.1912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c1,182$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.11,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c1,005$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.740341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c918$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.628,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under50c899.02$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.5138353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under50c891.77$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.8956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over67c778.88$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.972,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under50c774.38$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1922050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under50c725.3$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5747852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c684.36$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.781,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c579.65$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over52c480$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.418741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under49c459.88$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1230548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22915153%80 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c434.97$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.487248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17021449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over58c265.26$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.761,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under50c172.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0321547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Under31c169.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.292937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over52c135.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc221…d938backed Over43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under50c127.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.961,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under50c120.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.248342.2%35 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608245.1%37 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd3…99b2backed Under50c111.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.973548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c105.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.773,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Under53c94.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over52c77.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.032,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over50c76.28$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.149258.7%54 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under56c72.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under50c71.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6478854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over54c71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Over52c69.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.87445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over49c61.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.341145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d74…96b8backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2e9…fb58backed Over51c57.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c54.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over51c52.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9488247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c51.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b1…2282backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5934149.3%168 W · 173 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c49.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.921,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4812143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under50c47.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.979755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under50c45.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8430554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under50c43.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.973355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c41.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.731,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under50c39.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8747056.6%266 W · 204 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2273243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under50c38.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.356048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under50c35.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.987565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.526857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under50c33.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6431957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over50c32.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0111550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under50c31.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6725355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under50c29.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.793145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0460…7137backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512352.8%65 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over63c29.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over78c29.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.375,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over65c27.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7147743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…fc7cbacked Under50c27.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Over51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.539945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under50c22.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1829255.8%163 W · 129 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over50c20.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.269945.5%45 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ef…6d36backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-58.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4923…a3b7backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.