MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b53e82e167ce595db29d76625c2dc8475d3891388ce493db06247a6e3a19f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 50c | 195,682$97,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,841.85 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 67,442$33,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,704.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 31,384$15,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,691.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 27,917$13,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,953.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 22,599$11,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.84 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 16,519$8,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,260.33 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 15,300$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 13,394$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 50c | 13,384$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,691.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 13,145$6,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 46c | 5,529$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.96 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 2,318$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,127$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 50c | 2,025$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.35 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 1,867$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.66 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,646$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.7 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 918$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 899.02$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 50c | 891.77$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 778.88$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 50c | 774.38$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.19 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 50c | 725.3$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.57 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 684.36$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 579.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 49c | 459.88$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 458$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 434.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 58c | 265.26$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 50c | 172.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…eebbbacked Under | 31c | 169.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…d938backed Over | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 127.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 50c | 120.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Under | 50c | 111.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 105.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 53c | 94.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 77.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 50c | 76.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 56c | 72.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 71.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Over | 49c | 61.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…fb58backed Over | 51c | 57.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 54.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 51c | 52.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 51.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…2282backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 49.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 50c | 45.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 43.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 41.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 39.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 50c | 38.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 50c | 35.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 50c | 33.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 50c | 31.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 63c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 78c | 29.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 65c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Under | 50c | 27.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 22.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 50c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6d36backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 15.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.