CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525a1f64129e238849d3a1443c2c9a714a9ffeee75507a88894da1d0220582fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5822…8774backed Leo Team | 8c | 2,719$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 59c | 1,685$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked SPARTA | 78c | 414.48$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Leo Team | 54c | 376.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Leo Team | 48c | 331.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 48c | 291.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed SPARTA | 53c | 279.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed SPARTA | 62c | 222.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 39c | 203.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leo Team | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Leo Team | 54c | 196.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Leo Team | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Leo Team | 39c | 175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Team | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed SPARTA | 49c | 154.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 44c | 149.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed SPARTA | 55c | 128.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Leo Team | 42c | 122.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 42c | 95.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Leo Team | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 42c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Leo Team | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed SPARTA | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Leo Team | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Leo Team | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…8871backed Leo Team | 76c | 49.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Team | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Leo Team | 43c | 46.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed SPARTA | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Leo Team | 70c | 38.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 63c | 27.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 49c | 27.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 38c | 26.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c21…be9ebacked Leo Team | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked SPARTA | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.