Champions League · resolved market
Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbed098d835b09e296e0639c203198bdfd77d785441cbe2daecec28b4d85b56e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Iberia 1999of ŠK Slovan Bratislava, SK Iberia 1999
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed SK Iberia 1999 | 58c | 17,298$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,298.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 42c | 4,905$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 28c | 4,872$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.12 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 4,000$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 41c | 3,142$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.71 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 45c | 2,441$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.8 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 43c | 995$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.85 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 46c | 677.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.53 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 44c | 383.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Iberia 1999 | 66c | 203.2$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 44c | 184.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 42c | 157$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 42c | 82.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed SK Iberia 1999 | 71c | 61.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed SK Iberia 1999 | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 43c | 59.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SK Iberia 1999 | 71c | 52.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 23c | 52.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 51c | 45.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 29c | 44.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked SK Iberia 1999 | 55c | 35.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked SK Iberia 1999 | 77c | 32.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed SK Iberia 1999 | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed ŠK Slovan Bratislava | 43c | 25.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 24.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed SK Iberia 1999 | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked SK Iberia 1999 | 53c | 18.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)this page
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to AdvanceŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.