Champions League · resolved market
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10282a2beac50809d67e195a81bb947ce7a1fd02ee25c727fc0f40797b792e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 22c | 5,241$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.54 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 5,106$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.4 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 2,579$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.64 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 2,279$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.34 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 18c | 2,115$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 14c | 588.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 256.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 197.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 171.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 105.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 33c | 103.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 63c | 78.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd852…6267backed Over | 31c | 57.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 54.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 44.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 78c | 42.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 67c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-2.5)SK Iberia 1999 won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5Over won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5Over won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 2.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 5.5Under won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: Team to AdvanceŠK Slovan Bratislava won
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. SK Iberia 1999: ŠK Slovan Bratislava O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.