South American Leagues · resolved market

Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1b4c10a042968078c01b1e1898a9db19546db9fb7cd3467268127172013579

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over	50c	11,851$5,914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,936.84	1,290	42.8%552 W · 738 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	6,640$3,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,368.68	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over	51c	2,353$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.94	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	48c	2,197$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.44	321	39.6%127 W · 194 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	1,601$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.02	1,282	53.7%689 W · 593 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	47c	1,466$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.78	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	51c	1,293$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.39	1,231	53.9%663 W · 568 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	1,172$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.78	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	62c	1,152$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.26	1,362	44.9%611 W · 751 L	-22.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	51c	1,134$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.61	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	50c	1,115$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.78	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Under	53c	944.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	75c	902.97$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.45	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under	51c	836.09$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.35	552	50.2%277 W · 275 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under	49c	783.61$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.97	199	52.8%105 W · 94 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	628.19$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.86	1,439	37.5%540 W · 899 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	51c	537.49$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.11	601	56.2%338 W · 263 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	51c	537.48$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.57	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	42c	397.41$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over	51c	381.24$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.81	347	47.6%165 W · 182 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	43c	289.66$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.14	694	53.5%371 W · 323 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	41c	287.8$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over	50c	217.83$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.74	331	52.6%174 W · 157 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	249	56.6%141 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-66%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under	51c	187.9$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.83	182	47.8%87 W · 95 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	68c	176.88$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.87	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over	45c	150$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.5	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	50c	140$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.72	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	54c	133.28$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	646	33.1%214 W · 432 L	-24.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over	74c	117$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+10.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+28%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	51c	112.83$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	46c	105.49$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	124	39.5%49 W · 75 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over	51c	99.99$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	131	67.9%89 W · 42 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	48c	95.41$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	506	56.3%285 W · 221 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	53c	92.23$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	264	65.9%174 W · 90 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over	48c	86.77$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.12	155	54.2%84 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	50c	78.55$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.67	630	61.3%386 W · 244 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under	57c	70.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Over	48c	60.17$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.29	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under	49c	52.67$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	824	34.5%284 W · 540 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under	62c	48.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	83	75.9%63 W · 20 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	56c	46.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over	50c	42.82$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.41	87	60.9%53 W · 34 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	52c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	242	57%138 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over	76c	39.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.54	74	67.6%50 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	53c	32$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	53.8%50 W · 43 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	49c	29.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	2,611	54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Under	49c	26.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-6.8wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb3f2…1cc8backed Under	53c	25.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	51c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	100	44%44 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…bbecbacked Under	50c	19.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	61c	18.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.08	333	65.5%218 W · 115 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5this page
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo O/U 2.5Under won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 0.5Over won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Clube do Remo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event