South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f69034c2e8373f73ae93d44ecf8015e2d2d58b3367932f646a90e3221feeaf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clube do Remoof Mirassol FC, Clube do Remo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Clube do Remo | 78c | 11,762$9,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mirassol FC | 23c | 11,056$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.85 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clube do Remo | 73c | 8,723$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Mirassol FC | 27c | 3,754$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.16 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Clube do Remo | 51c | 2,702$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.42 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Mirassol FC | 32c | 1,953$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.36 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Mirassol FC | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mirassol FC | 32c | 1,235$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Mirassol FC | 49c | 975.43$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Clube do Remo | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mirassol FC | 49c | 471.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mirassol FC | 49c | 418.11$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Clube do Remo | 75c | 369.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Clube do Remo | 73c | 340.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mirassol FC | 30c | 332.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Clube do Remo | 63c | 325.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Mirassol FC | 49c | 227.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Mirassol FC | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Clube do Remo | 68c | 184.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Mirassol FC | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Clube do Remo | 78c | 173.74$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Mirassol FC | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Mirassol FC | 32c | 153.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Clube do Remo | 76c | 142.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Clube do Remo | 70c | 100.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Clube do Remo | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Mirassol FC | 40c | 88.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Clube do Remo | 70c | 85.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Clube do Remo | 69c | 70.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Mirassol FC | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Clube do Remo | 74c | 60.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Clube do Remo | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Clube do Remo | 70c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Clube do Remo | 59c | 54.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Mirassol FC | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Mirassol FC | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Clube do Remo | 74c | 33.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Mirassol FC | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Mirassol FC | 55c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Clube do Remo | 71c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Clube do Remo | 65c | 20.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Clube do Remo | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Clube do Remo | 69c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Clube do Remo | 69c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Clube do Remo (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-2.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.