Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Chirag Duhan vs Connor Doig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b39ee1d852463dd19223f515c020f4f283d33039b85fb77c56199dead76bce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connor Doigof Chirag Duhan, Connor Doig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507c…85efbacked Connor Doig | 60c | 6,577$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chirag Duhan | 40c | 4,206$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Chirag Duhan | 55c | 786.8$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.85 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Chirag Duhan | 40c | 739.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chirag Duhan | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chirag Duhan | 41c | 546.66$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chirag Duhan | 23c | 521.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Connor Doig | 77c | 390.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Chirag Duhan | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Chirag Duhan | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Connor Doig | 43c | 92.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Chirag Duhan | 55c | 70.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Chirag Duhan | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Chirag Duhan | 53c | 56.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Connor Doig | 58c | 53.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chirag Duhan | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Chirag Duhan | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Connor Doig | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Chirag Duhan | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…855dbacked Connor Doig | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Chirag Duhan | 42c | 25.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Chirag Duhan | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Connor Doig | 50c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Connor Doig | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Connor Doig | 58c | 24.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Connor Doig | 49c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…f1e1backed Connor Doig | 48c | 23.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Connor Doig | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.