Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d38c5bb6dda24c1f8f7cc8c05605b81d882a063c9f6f3f7195c2eeaae280795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forca Lleida CEof Forca Lleida CE, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Forca Lleida CE | 71c | 2,259$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.87 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.49 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Forca Lleida CE | 69c | 1,043$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bilbao Basket | 28c | 1,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilbao Basket | 59c | 680.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.07 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Bilbao Basket | 45c | 585.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Bilbao Basket | 55c | 552.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Forca Lleida CE | 45c | 551.23$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Forca Lleida CE | 39c | 518.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Bilbao Basket | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 398.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Forca Lleida CE | 77c | 394$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bilbao Basket | 49c | 357.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Bilbao Basket | 26c | 329.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bilbao Basket | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilbao Basket | 50c | 239.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bilbao Basket | 39c | 186.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilbao Basket | 47c | 184.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Forca Lleida CE | 70c | 181.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…d690backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 165.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bilbao Basket | 54c | 162.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Forca Lleida CE | 45c | 141$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Forca Lleida CE | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Forca Lleida CE | 39c | 128.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Bilbao Basket | 67c | 122.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Forca Lleida CE | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Bilbao Basket | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Bilbao Basket | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Forca Lleida CE | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Bilbao Basket | 56c | 78.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Bilbao Basket | 31c | 75.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Bilbao Basket | 56c | 73.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Bilbao Basket | 56c | 69.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Forca Lleida CE | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Bilbao Basket | 30c | 52.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Forca Lleida CE | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Bilbao Basket | 48c | 47.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Bilbao Basket | 30c | 41.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Forca Lleida CE | 47c | 40.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…5308backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Forca Lleida CE | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…dd37backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…7765backed Bilbao Basket | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bilbao Basket | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.