MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf1a802a76ddb4ea86a83b002733638c4e91ad760687d7d98832683d829e6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 52,993$29,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,486.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.99 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 52c | 15,079$7,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.01 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 10,423$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 5,577$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 4,754$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 4,437$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.62 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 46c | 4,350$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,851$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 60c | 2,951$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.98 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,408$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,387$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,134$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 1,842$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 1,755$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.66 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Under | 6c | 1,492$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.07 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 761.89$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 44c | 639.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 53c | 566.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 538$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 63c | 354$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 353.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 282.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 46c | 223.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…a9d5backed Over | 47c | 207$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 195.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 186.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 156$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 21c | 121.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…9cdcbacked Over | 41c | 120.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 46c | 105.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 57c | 102.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 23c | 99.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 21c | 95.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 54c | 95.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Under | 22c | 91.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 22c | 91.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 88.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 88.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 46c | 87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…de06backed Under | 58c | 67.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 65.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 53c | 61.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 52.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 48c | 47.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…680bbacked Over | 47c | 42.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 38.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 47c | 26.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…951ebacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.