MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5034d0f45496e94750acbee72dbd6c034bf607188a1c6aef064280a2cb1e5ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 49c | 205,134$99,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,140.97 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 170,298$87,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,213.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 20,082$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 17,085$8,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,780.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 10,577$5,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 49c | 9,068$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.75 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 6,897$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.08 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 52c | 5,740$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 4,593$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 3,299$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 1,793$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.43 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 50c | 1,370$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.32 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 1,232$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.64 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 1,091$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…1e7fbacked Under | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 50c | 1,010$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.97 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 958.85$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 800$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 38c | 789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 50c | 641.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Under | 52c | 634.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 598.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 484.51$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 49c | 449.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 445$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 418.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 415.61$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 51c | 414.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 50c | 402.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 49c | 378.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 49c | 360.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.74 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 359.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 49c | 345.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 51c | 335.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.67 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 47c | 331.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 49c | 294.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 49c | 214.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Over | 48c | 213.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 195.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 44c | 194.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…975cbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f005backed Under | 52c | 193.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Under | 52c | 183.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 49c | 136.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…c755backed Over | 50c | 110.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd293…4778backed Over | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 52c | 79.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 71.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 65.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…bb0cbacked Over | 50c | 63.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 49c | 61.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Under | 48c | 57.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 64c | 54.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Over | 57c | 54.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 53.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c3…7f0fbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.