MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72da36f41e04ad378e4fff2aaf84b8d3bbb15db11b869b60e82fda3f97707da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 8,451$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 4,886$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.43 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 2,625$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 2,467$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.13 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 2,372$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 2,246$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 2,103$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.06 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,569$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,469$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.17 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 690.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.47 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 674.57$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 545.29$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 511.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 492.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 491.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.22 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 425.96$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 419.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 411.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 319.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.12 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 287.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 287.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 227.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 212.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 207.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 181.39$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…0a12backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 181.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 165.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 145$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 132.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 116$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 116$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 109.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 90.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 87.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 86.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 86.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 75.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 73.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 66.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 61.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 51.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 46.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 43.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7716…a68cbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 25.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 25.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 22.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 20.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.