Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8386a48f9059d7d23b7ab1a04a8640c2340d148713c6380dcabb3a817edc11b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof REKONIX, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed REKONIX | 9c | 31,652$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 10c | 12,913$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.9 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed REKONIX | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 13c | 3,673$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed REKONIX | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed REKONIX | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 10c | 1,756$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed REKONIX | 11c | 1,750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 6c | 1,599$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed REKONIX | 14c | 1,218$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 11c | 1,153$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed REKONIX | 3c | 891.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 9c | 872.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked REKONIX | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 10c | 651$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked REKONIX | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed REKONIX | 9c | 495$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 13c | 447.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 7c | 391.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed REKONIX | 6c | 349.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked REKONIX | 14c | 321.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked REKONIX | 11c | 293.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 7c | 293.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 7c | 216$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed REKONIX | 9c | 202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed REKONIX | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed REKONIX | 12c | 197$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked REKONIX | 14c | 187.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 7c | 165.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked REKONIX | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.