Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94701eef65c59ee3577f1f752a3bc2d2e44d38c5754d34923c97d5fd19f99c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof REKONIX, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 14c | 14,830$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.32 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed REKONIX | 8c | 3,067$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed REKONIX | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed REKONIX | 7c | 2,750$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 16c | 2,579$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.09 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 2,200$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed REKONIX | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed REKONIX | 23c | 1,707$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 1c | 1,700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked REKONIX | 13c | 1,462$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,407$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed REKONIX | 17c | 1,262$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 13c | 1,250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed REKONIX | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 17c | 1,011$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed REKONIX | 17c | 989.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 78c | 880.95$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked REKONIX | 11c | 850.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed REKONIX | 15c | 848$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked REKONIX | 24c | 837.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked REKONIX | 20c | 749.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked REKONIX | 11c | 715.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 10c | 650.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed REKONIX | 6c | 640$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 17c | 605.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked REKONIX | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed REKONIX | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed REKONIX | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 12c | 494.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 14c | 451.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed REKONIX | 8c | 433$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed PARIVISION | 80c | 390.4$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed REKONIX | 16c | 350.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed PARIVISION | 79c | 305.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed REKONIX | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed REKONIX | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed REKONIX | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed REKONIX | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked REKONIX | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed REKONIX | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked REKONIX | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 87.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed REKONIX | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION | 79c | 64.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 33.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked PARIVISION | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.