Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Guido Justo vs Matias Soto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3c2d31c105395a97a02133bb6404c1fa30d927bf2f231628a932415739f99e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Guido Justo, Matias Soto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Guido Justo | 4c | 6,393$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guido Justo | 4c | 5,332$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Guido Justo | 19c | 3,060$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.59 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 14c | 3,041$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Guido Justo | 3c | 1,648$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guido Justo | 55c | 1,440$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.9 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Matias Soto | 56c | 1,422$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.41 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Matias Soto | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Guido Justo | 47c | 978.56$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Guido Justo | 29c | 918.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Guido Justo | 33c | 864.68$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.34 | 572 | 67.3%385 W · 187 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Guido Justo | 56c | 778.6$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.02 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Matias Soto | 47c | 737.74$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Guido Justo | 26c | 728.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matias Soto | 76c | 720.44$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Matias Soto | 47c | 649.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.62 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Guido Justo | 64c | 611.21$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.37 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Matias Soto | 44c | 596.69$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.14 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Guido Justo | 4c | 588.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…4726backed Matias Soto | 41c | 465.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Guido Justo | 54c | 447.57$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Matias Soto | 52c | 379.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guido Justo | 39c | 378.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Matias Soto | 46c | 378.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Guido Justo | 35c | 355$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Guido Justo | 56c | 352.96$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.66 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Guido Justo | 56c | 348.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Guido Justo | 56c | 329.68$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Guido Justo | 56c | 326.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Guido Justo | 36c | 302.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Guido Justo | 56c | 300.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matias Soto | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Matias Soto | 44c | 281.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Matias Soto | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Guido Justo | 7c | 249.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Guido Justo | 13c | 248.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Guido Justo | 13c | 248.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Matias Soto | 45c | 246.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Guido Justo | 13c | 243.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Guido Justo | 13c | 243.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Guido Justo | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Guido Justo | 56c | 237.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Guido Justo | 55c | 235$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guido Justo | 48c | 231.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Guido Justo | 16c | 228.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Guido Justo | 16c | 228.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Matias Soto | 44c | 223.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Matias Soto | 44c | 219.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Guido Justo | 56c | 218$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…95febacked Guido Justo | 9c | 217.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Matias Soto | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Matias Soto | 45c | 197.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Guido Justo | 34c | 179.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Matias Soto | 44c | 169.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…626abacked Guido Justo | 12c | 164.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Matias Soto | 45c | 164.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Guido Justo | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed Matias Soto | 46c | 118.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Guido Justo | 60c | 110.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Guido Justo | 52c | 106.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Matias Soto | 41c | 101.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Matias Soto | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Guido Justo | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Guido Justo | 31c | 97.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Guido Justo | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Guido Justo | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Guido Justo | 30c | 93.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Guido Justo | 46c | 92.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Guido Justo | 55c | 90.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Guido Justo | 55c | 90.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matias Soto | 75c | 89.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Guido Justo | 56c | 88.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Guido Justo | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Guido Justo | 31c | 77.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…7001backed Guido Justo | 47c | 75.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Guido Justo | 54c | 75.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Guido Justo | 56c | 75.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Guido Justo | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Guido Justo | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Matias Soto | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Guido Justo | 55c | 70.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Guido Justo | 19c | 69.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Guido Justo | 55c | 65.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Matias Soto | 46c | 64.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Matias Soto | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Guido Justo | 35c | 59.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Matias Soto | 44c | 58.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Guido Justo | 48c | 58.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Guido Justo | 54c | 55.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Matias Soto | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Matias Soto | 29c | 50.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guido Justo | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Guido Justo | 50c | 49.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Guido Justo | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Guido Justo | 55c | 47.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matias Soto | 66c | 44.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Matias Soto | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Guido Justo | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Matias Soto | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guido Justo | 34c | 40.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Cruz: Guido Justo vs Matias Sotothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Justo vs SotoSoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.