TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,673 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x531b…32b6backed Spurs27c50,000$13,500 inLost-$13,5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks73c31,476$22,967 inWon+$8,508.5264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2cf…85a0backed Knicks73c28,203$20,689 inWon+$7,513.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs30c11,546$3,500 inLost-$3,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks69c4,128$2,836 inWon+$1,292.4842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks68c1,881$1,286 inWon+$594.4953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs27c1,500$405 inLost-$4051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs29c1,046$300 inLost-$3003644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Spurs29c808.08$234 inLost-$234.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks70c768.97$538 inWon+$230.692,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks72c655.72$472 inWon+$183.625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Knicks68c499.62$340 inWon+$159.8821848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs27c360$97 inLost-$97.212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs30c305.11$91 inLost-$90.884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs27c300.91$81 inLost-$81.2525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs27c300$81 inLost-$819956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Spurs29c275.83$80 inLost-$79.783948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs36c228.81$82 inLost-$81.8730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Knicks71c211.27$150 inWon+$61.275435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Spurs40c202.87$82 inLost-$81.874344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks69c201.87$139 inWon+$62.585349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs30c200$60 inLost-$6015927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Spurs30c166.67$50 inLost-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Spurs28c138.77$39 inLost-$39.445244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks72c138.15$100 inWon+$38.1511258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs25c120$30 inLost-$3025954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs26c120$32 inLost-$31.68355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs25c118.43$30 inLost-$29.6166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Knicks70c111$78 inWon+$33.365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Knicks74c100$74 inWon+$261883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs29c100$29 inLost-$292733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks72c79.9$58 inWon+$22.361,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs27c50$14 inLost-$13.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs33c49.27$16 inLost-$16.341,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs25c42.36$11 inLost-$10.5932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks69c40$28 inWon+$12.460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks71c38.18$27 inWon+$11.0713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs28c36.36$10 inLost-$10.1840548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks72c34$24 inWon+$9.5218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs38c31.46$12 inLost-$11.8110152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f2…8e18backed Knicks68c25.99$18 inWon+$8.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks70c25$18 inWon+$7.55671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Knicks72c20.83$15 inWon+$5.839355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks71c15.01$11 inWon+$4.3310757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks73c14$10 inWon+$3.7826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.