CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271347f252c84d23368a74913c945ed659a952b525e9f06e1f11a7803454ce48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof Nemiga, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 43c | 1,725$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.78 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked GenOne | 41c | 743.09$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.87 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked GenOne | 66c | 579.35$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed GenOne | 48c | 542$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Nemiga | 61c | 447.1$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Nemiga | 23c | 410$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga | 15c | 318$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d318backed Nemiga | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked GenOne | 39c | 160.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nemiga | 16c | 154$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Nemiga | 29c | 136.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 29c | 132.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga | 14c | 129.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed GenOne | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…b42bbacked GenOne | 55c | 109.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed GenOne | 41c | 108.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Nemiga | 22c | 86.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed GenOne | 46c | 83.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GenOne | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed GenOne | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nemiga | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 27c | 52.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…8404backed Nemiga | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed GenOne | 50c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 696 | 71.7%499 W · 197 L | +120.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Nemiga | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 433 | 52.9%229 W · 204 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Nemiga | 59c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed GenOne | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nemiga | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Nemiga | 63c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 749 | 39.1%293 W · 456 L | -28.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 66c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)GenOne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.