Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f7f97367eeacb18940f8b960a9637ff0669a44e76719860ab0269cc736cc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 48c | 500$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed GIANTX | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed GIANTX | 52c | 377.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX | 52c | 374.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked GIANTX | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Liquid | 48c | 165.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 162.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Team Liquid | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Team Liquid | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked GIANTX | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked GIANTX | 53c | 65.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 69c | 54.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed GIANTX | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed GIANTX | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked GIANTX | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Liquid | 47c | 33.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Team Liquid | 47c | 33.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GIANTX | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Liquid | 69c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)Team Liquid won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)Team Liquid won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid - Map 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.