TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,529 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked Los Angeles Sparks55c4,000$2,185 inWon+$1,814.6210338.8%40 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun45c1,502$680 inLost-$679.691,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Connecticut Sun45c926.44$417 inLost-$416.95541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun47c895$418 inLost-$417.7826953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun46c595.24$274 inLost-$274.1441147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks76c559.91$425 inWon+$135.337141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun25c500$125 inLost-$12550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Sparks63c466.28$293 inWon+$173.2232150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun34c400.89$135 inLost-$135.391,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Connecticut Sun21c360$76 inLost-$75.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks57c335$191 inWon+$144.338650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Los Angeles Sparks64c329.99$212 inWon+$118.0413256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Los Angeles Sparks78c299.95$234 inWon+$65.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Connecticut Sun44c291.89$128 inLost-$128.435147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks56c286.11$160 inWon+$126.1128558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun43c250$108 inLost-$107.583748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun37c228.07$85 inLost-$85.237850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Los Angeles Sparks58c172.41$100 inWon+$72.4113348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun46c132.9$61 inLost-$61.1332750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks75c126.97$95 inWon+$31.7464152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Connecticut Sun32c99$32 inLost-$31.6824546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Connecticut Sun46c86.17$40 inLost-$39.6414345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1f…4af9backed Connecticut Sun29c64.62$19 inLost-$18.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Los Angeles Sparks58c61.06$35 inWon+$25.654148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Sparks66c54.98$36 inWon+$18.7710454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Sparks74c51.19$38 inWon+$13.3134726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Connecticut Sun45c48.89$22 inLost-$21.7617343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun42c41.06$17 inLost-$17.259651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Connecticut Sun48c37.4$18 inLost-$18.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Connecticut Sun38c33$13 inLost-$12.536845.6%31 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Los Angeles Sparks57c32$18 inWon+$13.7613048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun51c29.98$15 inLost-$15.2961547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks49c29.98$15 inWon+$15.2938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Sparks56c28$16 inWon+$12.3213256.1%74 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Connecticut Sun47c22.02$10 inLost-$10.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.