WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf4f1abb1f570f620e7ed40e45e39d6a1677c9d6366ecd272c405fbc4c65bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 47c | 1,342$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.43 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 41c | 1,027$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.43 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 60c | 676.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 658$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 547.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 504.54$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 413.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 58c | 401.89$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Over | 29c | 340.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 293.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 42c | 275.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 266.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 198$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 60c | 179.81$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 170.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Over | 40c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 100.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 40c | 100.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 88.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 88.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 53c | 88.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 40c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 57.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 54c | 50.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 54c | 50.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 63c | 48.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 59c | 44.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 33.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 168.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.