WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa672d2aeae53204e1882807558f71b2899d09bfe6bbb3b93b387e379467c2eaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 85,441$46,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,537.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 14,175$6,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 10,528$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.69 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 9,350$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…66f3backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 5,954$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 5,222$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 5,197$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.87 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 4,250$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 3,912$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.57 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 3,780$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 3,682$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 3,180$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.46 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 2,283$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.23 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,890$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,870$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.51 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,755$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.51 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…2351backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 1,417$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 1,094$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.21 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 1,021$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.28 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 887.74$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.92 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 875.87$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.88 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 78c | 748.26$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 637.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 620.69$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 599.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 595.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 408.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 398.6$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.37 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 374.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 322$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 297.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 289.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 238.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 186.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 116.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Connecticut Sun | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Connecticut Sun | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Sparks | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 80.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 71.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 67.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 61.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 67c | 56.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…df34backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…7fa7backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 36.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…0619backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 35.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 31.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…7298backed Los Angeles Sparks | 76c | 26.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Connecticut Sun | 44c | 22.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 168.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.