WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff0516768339381a82c75dd631edb229b7ab5723d954327044b09180e7014bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Over | 54c | 3,078$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 3,032$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.17 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 2,529$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.08 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 52c | 1,878$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.56 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 48c | 1,844$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.94 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 55c | 1,640$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.89 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 45c | 1,234$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.7 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 57c | 885.92$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 687.37$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 399 | 50.4%201 W · 198 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 45c | 686.97$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 42c | 505.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 477.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 363.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 47c | 351.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 44c | 335$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 301 | 54.2%163 W · 138 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 45c | 239.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 236.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…9653backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cf…6eb7backed Over | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 174.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 156.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 140.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 46c | 97.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 55c | 91.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…6a8bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…c4cfbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c5…122cbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 88.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 48c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 53c | 54.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 29c | 54.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 48.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 189 | 45%85 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed Under | 45c | 47.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 43.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 46c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 632 | 46.8%296 W · 336 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 26.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 168.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 167.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.