TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tereza Valentovaof Mary Stoiana, Tereza Valentova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Mary Stoiana0c242,539$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.072,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Mary Stoiana18c13,615$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47693740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Mary Stoiana20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tereza Valentova79c3,321$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.196,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Mary Stoiana8c3,008$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.679737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Tereza Valentova78c2,720$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.425764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mary Stoiana8c2,416$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.711,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Mary Stoiana27c2,235$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.091,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mary Stoiana27c1,412$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3278536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Mary Stoiana23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mary Stoiana4c1,113$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.754,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Tereza Valentova69c1,061$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.385961%36 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Mary Stoiana12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011933.6%40 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda79…9050backed Mary Stoiana12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013531.9%43 W · 92 L+0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tereza Valentova76c812.9$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.485,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Mary Stoiana13c781.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Mary Stoiana23c632.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5419841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Mary Stoiana12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Mary Stoiana7c510.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.531,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Mary Stoiana31c499.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9935938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…3d9bbacked Mary Stoiana12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Mary Stoiana31c349.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3715938.4%61 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mary Stoiana19c341.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.032,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mary Stoiana15c339$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.854,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tereza Valentova74c328.4$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4795050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Tereza Valentova70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9053644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Mary Stoiana18c294.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0452847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Mary Stoiana26c271.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4527744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Mary Stoiana18c264.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.371,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mary Stoiana26c256.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.764,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Mary Stoiana12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9d…a555backed Mary Stoiana12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tereza Valentova75c237.1$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.912,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…663ebacked Mary Stoiana12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258731%27 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a08…46f9backed Mary Stoiana12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257929.1%23 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Mary Stoiana30c204$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Tereza Valentova67c190$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mary Stoiana18c188.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.341,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Mary Stoiana13c187.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9244729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Mary Stoiana17c179.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mary Stoiana30c166.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Mary Stoiana12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Mary Stoiana12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Mary Stoiana12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7937…a98bbacked Mary Stoiana15c164.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Tereza Valentova69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9315856.3%89 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Mary Stoiana14c142.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9511750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Mary Stoiana30c138$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.419537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tereza Valentova68c137.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb994…fad1backed Mary Stoiana12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159736.1%35 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Tereza Valentova79c117.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1723256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Tereza Valentova70c113.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.584968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Mary Stoiana22c111.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58942.7%38 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…b9b6backed Mary Stoiana12c105.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.675738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Mary Stoiana14c103$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Tereza Valentova69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3111462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…4f00backed Mary Stoiana12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128226.8%22 W · 60 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Mary Stoiana25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mary Stoiana31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Mary Stoiana33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6828442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ae…9ff0backed Mary Stoiana12c87.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526124.6%15 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mary Stoiana14c87.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.921,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Tereza Valentova75c77.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Mary Stoiana20c74.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9112839.1%50 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Mary Stoiana20c74.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9111837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Mary Stoiana22c73.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.535039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Tereza Valentova68c73.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3689859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b2…11babacked Mary Stoiana15c72.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.153327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Mary Stoiana32c69.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.411859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed Mary Stoiana15c69.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84e…b520backed Mary Stoiana33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Tereza Valentova75c60.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0835164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mary Stoiana24c54.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Mary Stoiana24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211929.4%35 W · 84 L-17.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Mary Stoiana24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Mary Stoiana33c47.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.683,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd732…0fd0backed Mary Stoiana33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Mary Stoiana30c43.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9520558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Mary Stoiana28c41.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4369047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Tereza Valentova80c39.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.991,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed Tereza Valentova69c37.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6310147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75b6…8d68backed Tereza Valentova69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.235966.1%39 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036a…14acbacked Mary Stoiana32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tereza Valentova77c30.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.956,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927e…cd69backed Tereza Valentova70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576861.8%42 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tereza Valentova68c21.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.732,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Tereza Valentova74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2710756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.