TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x036a…14ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.46
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmanebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$18.21
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Cincinnati Open: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentovabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Daria Snigur vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.64
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
ITF Roehampton: Alice Tubello vs Emily Appletonbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Nicolas Zanellatobacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$5.94
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
ITF Sao Paulo: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Mateus Alvesbacked Mateus Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Nicolas Parizziabacked Nicolas Parizzia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ITF Bali: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Ryuki Matsudabacked Thanaphat Boosarawongse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
ITF Segrate: Yanis Ghazouani Durand vs Nicolas Parizziabacked Nicolas Parizzia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.