Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roehampton: Alice Tubello vs Emily Appleton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d5815aba00af0dc29ae9f72aa915baced77772d9bf1524a416373169f61ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emily Appletonof Alice Tubello, Emily Appleton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alice Tubello | 33c | 6,012$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Emily Appleton | 74c | 4,995$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.95 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Emily Appleton | 47c | 4,371$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.07 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emily Appleton | 52c | 1,691$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Alice Tubello | 69c | 1,444$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Alice Tubello | 68c | 652.18$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Emily Appleton | 32c | 647.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.08 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alice Tubello | 45c | 580$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Emily Appleton | 37c | 496.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.07 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alice Tubello | 7c | 415.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Alice Tubello | 17c | 409.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Alice Tubello | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Tubello | 63c | 350$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Alice Tubello | 4c | 332.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Alice Tubello | 25c | 331.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Alice Tubello | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Alice Tubello | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Alice Tubello | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Emily Appleton | 38c | 279$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.98 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alice Tubello | 61c | 176$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Alice Tubello | 8c | 155.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Emily Appleton | 60c | 154.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Emily Appleton | 73c | 137.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Emily Appleton | 37c | 135.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Emily Appleton | 33c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Alice Tubello | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alice Tubello | 63c | 82.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Emily Appleton | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…4425backed Emily Appleton | 70c | 76.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emily Appleton | 68c | 73.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alice Tubello | 67c | 66.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alice Tubello | 34c | 59.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Alice Tubello | 59c | 59.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Emily Appleton | 38c | 53.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Emily Appleton | 37c | 53.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Alice Tubello | 27c | 42.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alice Tubello | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alice Tubello | 63c | 40.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Emily Appleton | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Alice Tubello | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Alice Tubello | 62c | 31.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alice Tubello | 63c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…14acbacked Alice Tubello | 64c | 23.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.